BYU vs Hawaii Pick
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Icon-ok BYU moneyline (-126.0) L

$100.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 24 Dec 2019 2:10 PM

pick locked in 7 months ago


College Football

SoFi Hawai'i Bowl
Hawaii vs Brigham Young
8:00 PM ET, Tuesday, December 24, 2019
Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii
PICK: BYU -135/Small

Reading and seeing more love for Hawaii in this one than BYU. Going over the numbers, I think this matchup leans toward BYU.

Trends
Hawaii is 7-19 ATS last 16 vs team w winning record
Hawaii 1-4 ATS last 5 bowl games
BYU has won 9 of last 10 vs Hawaii
BYU 7-0 straight up last 7 bowl games
BYU 8-2 ATS last 10 vs MWC


Hawaii
The game is in Hawaii, so while this is considered a neutral game, this is at Hawaii. That isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In fact, Hawaii’s #194 ranked defense allows nearly 100 more yards per game at home vs on the road. Hawaii’s run defense is allowing 4.8 ypc on the road, but at home they allow 6.1 ypc. Their run defense is #103 and has allowed over 200 yards rushing in 6 games this season.
Hawaii allowed 432 or more total yards at home this year to Arizona (539), Oregon St (432), Air Force (522), Fresno St (514), San Jose St (497) and Army (538). Hawaii is -10 in net turnovers at home vs -4 on the road. Hawaii is 35/33 PF/PA at home and 31/1 PF/PA in road games. Hawaii had a stretch where the allowed 500 plus yards in 4 straight games this season.

QB Cole Mcdonald was 5th in the nation in passing yards. In his first 7 games of the season, Mcdonald had 23 TD and 10 INT. In the final 6 games, he threw just 6 TD and 4 INT.



BYU
Conversely, BYU seems to put up better numbers on the road. At home, they average 27 pf and 27 pa but on the road, BYU scores 29 and gives up 22. Their pass defense is #36 in the nation. They allow 213 yards passing at home and 194 on road. BYU’s pass defense held opponents under 200 passing yards in 7 games this season. The Cougars are even in net turnovers at home but +4 in net turnovers in road games this season.
BYU is not a great rushing offense at #71 but they have had success against teams who are not great run defenses. They put up over 200 yards rushing 4 times this season, 3 of those games were on the road.



Common Opponents
Washington
Not much to draw from this opponent. The Huskies handled both teams.

Boise St
Hawaii lost twice to Boise this season. 59-37 and then 31-10. Both games at Boise and the latter was the MWC Conference Championship where Boise St was without their starting QB. In the first matchup with Boise at full strength, Hawaii allowed over 500 yards of offense and Hawaii was - 3 in turnovers.

BYU beat Boise 28-25 in Provo. The Cougars held Boise St to 185 passing yards

Advantage -BYU


San Diego St
San Diego St doesn’t bring a lot on offense but does have a good defense.

Hawaii did beat San Diego St 14-11 and BYU lost at San Diego St 13-3. The Cougars, who used three different starting quarterbacks this season due to injury, averaged 39.8 points during a five-game winning streak that was snapped when they were limited to a season-low total in a 13-3 loss at San Diego State However, BYU held San Diego St to 269 yards on the road while Hawail allowed them 318 yards. BYU put up 416 total yards against the Aztec defense but -3 turnovers killed their momentum.




Bet Leagues & Investment Funds

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South

Balance: $5,288.58
Member/Subscriber Plays

Balance: $5,715.71






SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip BYU -2.5 -123.0 65.5
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Hawaii +2.5 +123.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?



Game time: Tuesday 12/24, 8:00 PM


BYU 34 FINAL
Hawaii 38


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
BYU -2.5 -101.0 -123.0 65.5 over 103.0
Hawaii +2.5 101.0 +123.0 65.5 under -103.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on BYU -123.0 cashes for $181.30
A $100 Moneyline bet on Hawaii +123.0 cashes for $223.00
A $100 Points Spread bet on BYU -2.5 cashes for $199.01
A $100 Points Spread bet on Hawaii +2.5 cashes for $201.00
A $100 Over bet on the total points 65.5 cashes for $203.00
A $100 Under bet on the total points 65.5 cashes for $197.09




Line Moves For BYU at Hawaii

Tuesday 12/24, 8:00 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip BYU -123.0 Moneyline Moves


BYU MONEYLINE payout currently is $181.30 for a $100 bet. BYU MONEYLINE payout has increased $3.18 versus when the line first opened. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $195.24.

These MONEYLINE odds imply BYU a 55% chance of winning. If you think BYU chances of winning are better than 55% then betting BYU on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Hawaii +123.0 Moneyline Moves


Hawaii MONEYLINE payout currently is $223.00 for a $100 bet. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $233.00.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Hawaii a 45% chance of winning. If you think Hawaii chances of winning are better than 45% then betting Hawaii on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip BYU -2.5 Points Spread Line Moves


The best time to have taken the POINTS SPREAD so far with BYU was when the line was -1.0.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Hawaii +2.5 Points Spread Line Moves


If you like Hawaii with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for Hawaii get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip BYU at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Hawaii Total Points +65.5 Line Moves


The TOTAL POINTS has moved up 3.5 points. The best time to take the OVER was when the total was at 62.0.

There has never been a better time to take the UNDER at 65.5 if you like it.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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